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Это склонность думать, что прошлые события повлияют на будущие вероятности. Как правило, мы не осознаем на интуитивном уровне того факта, что вероятность желаемого исхода не зависит от предыдущих исходов случайного события.

Пример: чем больше раз подряд выбрасываешь решку, тем выше вероятность «орла». Это неверно, так как вероятность выпадения следующего орла или решки по-прежнему остаётся 1/2.

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Критическое мышление
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Это склонность думать, что прошлые события повлияют на будущие вероятности. Как правило, мы не осознаем на интуитивном уровне того факта, что вероятность желаемого исхода не зависит от предыдущих исходов случайного события.

Пример: чем больше раз подряд выбрасываешь решку, тем выше вероятность «орла». Это неверно, так как вероятность выпадения следующего орла или решки по-прежнему остаётся 1/2.

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Unlimited members in Telegram group now

Telegram has made it easier for its users to communicate, as it has introduced a feature that allows more than 200,000 users in a group chat. However, if the users in a group chat move past 200,000, it changes into "Broadcast Group", but the feature comes with a restriction. Groups with close to 200k members can be converted to a Broadcast Group that allows unlimited members. Only admins can post in Broadcast Groups, but everyone can read along and participate in group Voice Chats," Telegram added.

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