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Kings at Celtics

Money line : Pass
Against the spread : Pass
Over/Under:
The Over is 5-5 in the Celtics’ last 10 games and 6-4 in the Kings’ last 10, so there isn’t a strong trend to follow entering this matchup. The concern with taking the Over is Fox’s injury (questionable) , but the Kings have scored 108 or more points in each of their last six games. I think Boston should be able to put up at least 115 against Sacramento

I like the OVER 220.5

Charlotte Hornets at Toronto Raptors

Money line : Pass
Against the spread :
RAPTORS -3.5  for 1 unit for various reasons. First of all, Toronto has two strength-on-weakness edges versus Charlotte on the offensive glass and in transition.

The Raptors are second in offensive rebounding rate and second in second-chance points per game . While the Hornets are 24th in defensive rebounding rate and allow the most second-chance PPG.

Charlotte and Toronto rank second and third in fastbreak PPG, but the Raptors are third in fastbreak PPG allowed and the Hornets rank 26th.

Toronto is also deep at the wing and Charlotte could be without two wings in Hayward and McDaniels.( ❗❗questionable❗❗)

Not having those guys out there will be a lot of pressure on Hornets’ wing Miles Bridges to take on the Raptors’ three-headed wing monster of Pascal Siakam, OG Anunoby and Scottie Barnes.

Finally, Toronto is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games following a SU loss and 16-7 ATS versus teams with a winning record (8-3 ATS at home).

Over/Under:
UNDER 221.5 small wager because the Hornets are 0-4 O/U over the last four games mostly because they’ve stepped their defense up in Jan. Charlotte is fifth in adjusted defensive rating in Jan.

The Raptors are ninth in adjusted defensive rating this month and have gone Under the total in seven of their last eight games.

Los Angeles Clippers at Washington Wizards

L.A. is eighth in adjusted defensive rating and 26th in adjusted offensive rating whereas Washington is just 23rd in adjusted offensive rating
Although the Wizards don’t grade out well in defensive efficiency, they do a good job defending what the Clippers do often, which is getting out in transition.

For example, L.A. plays the sixth-highest frequency of transition offense but has the second-worst offensive efficiency in the fastbreak.

But, the Wizards are third in defensive efficiency versus transition offense and allow the fewest fastbreak points per game (PPG).

Finally, Washington is 20th in pace and L.A. is 21st in pace this month. Fewer possessions mean fewer points unless these teams have a hot-shooting night.

For the record, the UNDER 221.5 is my favorite wager in this game

My bet last night ✅
It was Toronto -3.5 but I realized Barnes is out VanVleet is out so I picked up Money Line

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Hornets -2.5 WON ✅
Bulls -2.5 WON ✅
Suns ML WON ✅