Channel: Trade Watcher
Trade Watcher
Current situation:
1. Stock market futures are falling like the war is escalating
2. Gold prices are falling like a peace deal is near
3. Oil prices are rising like the war is escalating
4. Yields are rising like a peace deal is near
5. Natural gas prices are rising like the war is escalating
6. Sliver prices are falling like a peace deal is near
The market can’t make up its mind.
1. Stock market futures are falling like the war is escalating
2. Gold prices are falling like a peace deal is near
3. Oil prices are rising like the war is escalating
4. Yields are rising like a peace deal is near
5. Natural gas prices are rising like the war is escalating
6. Sliver prices are falling like a peace deal is near
The market can’t make up its mind.
Trade Watcher
Record-breaking triple witching today
Markets brace for what could be the largest triple witching in history — when stock options, index options, and index futures all expire at once. It happens four times a year, typically triggering spikes in liquidity and volatility.
Today, $6.8T in contracts are set to expire, including $4.5T tied to S&P 500 options and $1T in single-stock options. It’s also the first monthly expiration post-holiday in over 25 years.
Volatility is expected — but as last time showed, cycles don’t always repeat.
Markets brace for what could be the largest triple witching in history — when stock options, index options, and index futures all expire at once. It happens four times a year, typically triggering spikes in liquidity and volatility.
Today, $6.8T in contracts are set to expire, including $4.5T tied to S&P 500 options and $1T in single-stock options. It’s also the first monthly expiration post-holiday in over 25 years.
Volatility is expected — but as last time showed, cycles don’t always repeat.
Trade Watcher
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Peacemaker Trump scolds Warmonger Trump
Trade Watcher
US tech jobs keep shrinking
Tech jobs in SF and Silicon Valley fell to 107,700 in April — the lowest since June 2020. That's a drop of 25,400 jobs (–19%) since August 2022.
Professional & technical roles dropped to 207,800 — also the lowest since 2020 — losing 21,600 jobs (–9%) since June 2022.
Total losses across tech-related industries: 47,000 jobs since mid-2022.
High-paying tech roles are steadily disappearing.
Tech jobs in SF and Silicon Valley fell to 107,700 in April — the lowest since June 2020. That's a drop of 25,400 jobs (–19%) since August 2022.
Professional & technical roles dropped to 207,800 — also the lowest since 2020 — losing 21,600 jobs (–9%) since June 2022.
Total losses across tech-related industries: 47,000 jobs since mid-2022.
High-paying tech roles are steadily disappearing.
Trade Watcher
Trade Watcher
President Trump yesterday told “everyone [to] evacuate Tehran immediately.” Yet, oil prices are up a mere +1.5% on the news. Oil markets continue to price-in a short-lived conflict.
Crude futures closed at $77.01 per barrel, down $1.84 (−2.33%) on the day.
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