Channel: Crypto VIP Signal
Bitcoin Price Now Set by Derivatives, Not On-Chain Activity
A major shift is underway in how Bitcoin markets function:
Most trading has now moved off-chain.
📊 Key Insight:
Spot, futures, and options volume on centralized exchanges is now 7 to 16 times greater than what actually settles on the Bitcoin network.
💡 Why This Matters:
Price discovery is increasingly being driven by derivatives markets, not by organic on-chain transactions. This means:
* Volatility can be amplified due to leveraged positions.
* On-chain data alone is no longer a reliable indicator of short-term price movement.
* Whale behavior in futures/options is now more influential than ever.
The market structure has evolved — and understanding these shifts is critical for traders and analysts navigating this cycle.
A major shift is underway in how Bitcoin markets function:
Most trading has now moved off-chain.
📊 Key Insight:
Spot, futures, and options volume on centralized exchanges is now 7 to 16 times greater than what actually settles on the Bitcoin network.
💡 Why This Matters:
Price discovery is increasingly being driven by derivatives markets, not by organic on-chain transactions. This means:
* Volatility can be amplified due to leveraged positions.
* On-chain data alone is no longer a reliable indicator of short-term price movement.
* Whale behavior in futures/options is now more influential than ever.
The market structure has evolved — and understanding these shifts is critical for traders and analysts navigating this cycle.
Crypto VIP Signal
Which coin analysis you want?
TKO analysis:
Price has tested the lower support area, and we may see some sideways movement there. You can open a long position at the support area with a tight stop loss.
Support Area: $0.1070-$0.1140
Resistance Area: $0.1530-$0.1590
Price has tested the lower support area, and we may see some sideways movement there. You can open a long position at the support area with a tight stop loss.
Support Area: $0.1070-$0.1140
Resistance Area: $0.1530-$0.1590
Crypto VIP Signal
Bitcoin has struggled to reclaim the $103,000 level and has experienced a significant drop from that point. The price fell below $100,000 due to rising tensions from the ongoing conflict, and we may now see increased volatility in the market. The key resistance…
Bitcoin has reclaimed the $103,000 mark and is showing upward movement due to the ceasefire news. The price is now approaching the resistance area between $106,200 and $106,800, so let's see how it reacts there.
Crypto VIP Signal
POL has continued its downward trend as anticipated. The price has dropped by over 10% since our last update and has just bounced near the support area. You can consider placing your long position orders within this support zone and waiting for potential upward…
POL touched the support area and instantly rebounded from there. The long position is now over 12% profitable since our entry. You can set the stop loss at breakeven and continue to hold the position.
Resistance Area: $0.2000-$0.2080
Resistance Area: $0.2000-$0.2080
Crypto VIP Signal
The TOTAL2 altcoin market cap has reached the lower support line of the downtrend channel. The price needs to hold this line and bounce from here; otherwise, we may see further declines in the altcoin market.
The TOTAL2 altcoin market cap broke below the support trendline and instantly reclaimed it. This turned out to be a fakeout, and the price is now back in the downtrend channel.
Market Insight: Institutional Demand Remains Strong Amid Volatility
Despite the recent price swings and geopolitical tension, US Spot Bitcoin ETFs registered net inflows of over 11.6K BTC last week. 📈
🔹 This is the second consecutive week of positive inflows
🔹 Signals sustained institutional interest even during uncertain market conditions
🔹 Reinforces Bitcoin’s role as a strategic long-term asset
While retail sentiment remains cautious, institutions continue to accumulate on dips, highlighting growing confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value.
Despite the recent price swings and geopolitical tension, US Spot Bitcoin ETFs registered net inflows of over 11.6K BTC last week. 📈
🔹 This is the second consecutive week of positive inflows
🔹 Signals sustained institutional interest even during uncertain market conditions
🔹 Reinforces Bitcoin’s role as a strategic long-term asset
While retail sentiment remains cautious, institutions continue to accumulate on dips, highlighting growing confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value.
Crypto VIP Signal
Which coin analysis you want?
BAT analysis:
Price formed a double bottom and bounced from there. There is a downtrend line that works as a resistance area. This is no trade zone, and better to wait for some time.
Support Area: $0.1080-$0.1140
Price formed a double bottom and bounced from there. There is a downtrend line that works as a resistance area. This is no trade zone, and better to wait for some time.
Support Area: $0.1080-$0.1140
Crypto VIP Signal
Bitcoin has reclaimed the $103,000 mark and is showing upward movement due to the ceasefire news. The price is now approaching the resistance area between $106,200 and $106,800, so let's see how it reacts there.
Bitcoin reached the resistance area, trying to break above it. A close above $106,800 is bullish and will send the price towards $108,000 level. A rejection will send us back towards $103,000 support area.
Crypto VIP Signal
RPL has been rejected from the resistance area; therefore, we recommend booking profits. You can consider opening long positions again if the price tests the support area. Support Area: $4.55-$4.90 Resistance Area: $6.85-$7.30
RPL again tested the support area as expected and bounced from there. The long position gives more than 20% profit from the entry. You can add more if the price drops to the support area again.
Support Area: $4.55-$4.90
Resistance Area: $6.85-$7.30
Support Area: $4.55-$4.90
Resistance Area: $6.85-$7.30
🔥 SOL CME Futures Hit Record High 🔥
CME Futures volume for Solana (SOL) just surged to a new all-time high of 1.75M contracts — the highest on record!
🔹 This massive spike signals strong institutional interest
🔹 Price is rebounding toward the $145 zone
🔹 Derivatives market heating up as big players take positions
This volume surge suggests that institutions are actively repositioning as confidence in Solana's recovery grows. Watch for increased volatility and potential breakout plays ahead!
CME Futures volume for Solana (SOL) just surged to a new all-time high of 1.75M contracts — the highest on record!
🔹 This massive spike signals strong institutional interest
🔹 Price is rebounding toward the $145 zone
🔹 Derivatives market heating up as big players take positions
This volume surge suggests that institutions are actively repositioning as confidence in Solana's recovery grows. Watch for increased volatility and potential breakout plays ahead!
Crypto VIP Signal
Bitcoin reached the resistance area, trying to break above it. A close above $106,800 is bullish and will send the price towards $108,000 level. A rejection will send us back towards $103,000 support area.
Bitcoin has broken above the resistance area and continues its upward movement. We may see a retest of the $106,200-$106,800 support area; let's see if it can hold.
Crypto VIP Signal
Bitcoin dominance has broken through the resistance line, causing altcoins to experience a significant decline. Dominance has reached a new all-time high, and the possibility of forming a double top has been invalidated. We will only see some relief in altcoins…
Bitcoin dominance has retested the trend line and bounced back. The dominance remains bullish, indicating potential further suppression in altcoin prices. Investors are shifting towards BTC amid global tensions.
📊 BTC Options Market Update: Sentiment Shifts Slightly
Bitcoin’s 25 Delta Skew has cooled significantly after last week’s spike:
* 1-week skew has dropped from >10% to 2.96%, indicating reduced short-term panic
* However, 3-month and 6-month skews remain negative at -2.6% and -4.3%, reflecting ongoing medium-term caution
* The volume profile is still put-heavy, showing hedging and risk-off sentiment
📉 What this means: While immediate fears have eased, market participants remain cautious about the medium-term outlook. Expect range-bound price action or muted rallies unless new bullish catalysts emerge.
Bitcoin’s 25 Delta Skew has cooled significantly after last week’s spike:
* 1-week skew has dropped from >10% to 2.96%, indicating reduced short-term panic
* However, 3-month and 6-month skews remain negative at -2.6% and -4.3%, reflecting ongoing medium-term caution
* The volume profile is still put-heavy, showing hedging and risk-off sentiment
📉 What this means: While immediate fears have eased, market participants remain cautious about the medium-term outlook. Expect range-bound price action or muted rallies unless new bullish catalysts emerge.
Educational Post
What Is a Credit Spread?
Credit spreads are an important concept in both bond investing and options trading. In the bond market, they can show how risky different bonds are and provide insights into the economy's health. This article breaks down what credit spreads are, how they work, and why they matter. We'll first discuss credit spreads in the context of bonds and then briefly explore the concept in options trading.
What Are Credit Spreads?
A credit spread is the difference in returns between two loans or bonds that will be paid back at the same time but have different credit ratings (risk levels).
In bond trading, the concept relates to comparing two bonds that mature at the same time, one from a safer borrower and one from a riskier one (such as debt issued by emerging markets or lower-rated businesses).
The credit spread shows how much more return the riskier bond offers to make up for the extra risk. Unsurprisingly, this difference can affect how much you earn on your investment.
How Credit Spreads Work
Typically, investors compare the yield of a corporate bond with that of a government bond, such as a US Treasury note, which is considered low-risk. For example, if a 10-year US Treasury bond yields 3% and a 10-year corporate bond yields 5%, the credit spread is 2% or 200 basis points.
Many investors use credit spreads to understand not only how risky a single company’s bond is but also how healthy the overall economy is. When credit spreads are wide, it often signals economic trouble. When they’re narrow, it suggests confidence in the economy.
What Is a Credit Spread?
Credit spreads are an important concept in both bond investing and options trading. In the bond market, they can show how risky different bonds are and provide insights into the economy's health. This article breaks down what credit spreads are, how they work, and why they matter. We'll first discuss credit spreads in the context of bonds and then briefly explore the concept in options trading.
What Are Credit Spreads?
A credit spread is the difference in returns between two loans or bonds that will be paid back at the same time but have different credit ratings (risk levels).
In bond trading, the concept relates to comparing two bonds that mature at the same time, one from a safer borrower and one from a riskier one (such as debt issued by emerging markets or lower-rated businesses).
The credit spread shows how much more return the riskier bond offers to make up for the extra risk. Unsurprisingly, this difference can affect how much you earn on your investment.
How Credit Spreads Work
Typically, investors compare the yield of a corporate bond with that of a government bond, such as a US Treasury note, which is considered low-risk. For example, if a 10-year US Treasury bond yields 3% and a 10-year corporate bond yields 5%, the credit spread is 2% or 200 basis points.
Many investors use credit spreads to understand not only how risky a single company’s bond is but also how healthy the overall economy is. When credit spreads are wide, it often signals economic trouble. When they’re narrow, it suggests confidence in the economy.
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